Events - Event View

As we turn to the second Village program on the election, we will present AU history professor Allan Lichtman, the Nostrademus of modern-day presidential election outcomes.  Dr. Lichtman, author of "The Thirteen Keys to the White House", has correctly foreseen who would win the all presidential races since 1984, including predicting that Trump would win in 2016.  (He also predicted in another book that Trump would be impeached.)

These predictions have been based on a system of thirteen factors, deemed true or false, that assess how well the incumbent has done during his term in office.  These include factors such as the economy, incumbency, social unrest and scandals, as well as the candidates' personal charisma. If fewer than five of the keys are false, the incumbent wins the presidency. Polling data, debates, campaigning, etc. have no role in these factors. Lichtman created "The Keys to the White House" model with Russian seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981 using pattern recognition. They analyzed every presidential election since 1890.

Spoiler alert - "Lichtman predicts that Trump will lose". In an interview with CNN, Lichtman was definitive in his answer: "The Keys predict that Donald Trump will lose the White House this year." So, join us and find out what the keys are telling him to make him so sure his prediction is correct. 

Presented by Little Falls Village in collaboration with COFFE (Council of Former Federal Executives & Associates) in Partnership with the Little Falls Library of Montgomery County Public Libraries